Saturday, February 24, 2007

Re:Holtz on Gospel Probabilities

In "Possible Explanations for the Gospel Evidence" (January 2003), Holtz says not to assign zero probabilities to any of the options, but I will anyway:

  • Gospels resulted from other than merely human phenomena: 0.98
    • Resulted from intentional super-human benevolence: 0.98
      • Misunderstood or imperfect salvific effort of something less than a benevolent omnipotent omniscient agency: 0.003
        • Natural agency: 0.001
        • Supernatural agency: 0.002
      • The perfect salvific plan of an omnipotent omniscient benevolent Yahweh: 0.977
    • Resulted from intentional super-human non-benevolence: 0.001
      • Supernatural non-benevolence: 0.001
        • Malevolence by demonic forces opposed to the less-than-tri-omni (but nevertheless benevolent) Yahweh: 0.0004
        • Malevolence by a being calling itself Yahweh: 0.0006
      • Natural non-benevolence: 0.0
        • Of technologically advanced natural beings (e.g. aliens, time travellers): 0.0
        • Of being(s) running this universe as a simulation: 0.0
    • Resulted from unintentional phenomena (e.g. quantum fluctuations): 0.0
  • Gospels resulted from merely human phenomena 0.02
    • Jesus was not deluded (e.g. was insincere and deceptive) 0.01
      • Apostles were co-conspirators 0.004
      • Apostles were duped 0.006
        • Apostles were duped by a twin of Jesus 0.0
    • Jesus was deluded 0.01
    • Jesus never existed 0.0
      • Jesus invented by apostles (e.g. Paul) 0.0
      • Christianity myth arose in a Jewish sect 0.0
      • Christianity invented by Roman authorities 0.0

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